Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.147155 0.168043 0.191732 0.220769 0.255653 0.296528 0.348516
2025-04-20 0.114401 0.141300 0.175105 0.221490 0.284744 0.369920 0.496766
2025-04-27 0.095741 0.125327 0.165514 0.225795 0.317089 0.455882 0.695242
2025-05-04 0.083108 0.113820 0.158181 0.229758 0.348281 0.549036 0.946746
2025-05-11 0.074330 0.105687 0.153385 0.235361 0.382390 0.657850 1.283584
2025-05-18 0.066945 0.098173 0.147769 0.237729 0.410830 0.766446 1.688347
2025-05-25 0.060839 0.091605 0.142321 0.238792 0.436615 0.879694 2.188531
2025-06-01 0.055449 0.085384 0.136331 0.237353 0.456642 0.988625 2.772987
2025-06-08 0.050607 0.079431 0.129851 0.233517 0.470247 1.088199 3.431181
2025-06-15 0.047834 0.076670 0.128664 0.240008 0.509500 1.276730 4.667660
2025-06-22 0.044091 0.071754 0.122751 0.235302 0.519969 1.387069 5.735158
2025-06-29 0.041602 0.068832 0.120265 0.237639 0.549623 1.577570 7.596973
2025-07-06 0.038748 0.065002 0.115612 0.234443 0.564191 1.729476 9.631790
2025-07-13 0.036840 0.062778 0.113955 0.238135 0.600626 1.995156 13.432061
2025-07-20 0.035288 0.061079 0.113165 0.243843 0.645852 2.339779 19.662723
2025-07-27 0.033793 0.059338 0.112058 0.248547 0.690113 2.726919 29.198933
2025-08-03 0.032543 0.057966 0.111577 0.254853 0.743072 3.223785 46.014343
2025-08-10 0.031143 0.056154 0.109887 0.257511 0.784272 3.709929 71.153822
2025-08-17 0.029768 0.054271 0.107811 0.258700 0.820848 4.224113 111.619375
2025-08-24 0.028339 0.052159 0.104966 0.257111 0.845907 4.701246 172.311139
2025-08-31 0.026878 0.049862 0.101444 0.252866 0.858317 5.107162 258.750865
2025-09-07 0.026156 0.049106 0.101572 0.260053 0.926699 6.156279 573.013191
2025-09-14 0.024842 0.046953 0.098031 0.254842 0.934061 6.628775 949.432898